Jacob Woods, Temple University
In 2014, the Spotted Lanternfly (SLF) was introduced to Pennsylvania, and with its ability to severely compromise lumber, grape, and crop production, it has become a species of great concern. In this work, we developed a Site-Facilitated spread model motivated by the behavior of the SLF. A calibrated model prototype is showcased with vineyards in mind, capturing how SLF move between hosts (sites) in the landscapes with different site geometries over the course of a season. We demonstrate the implications of this model on existing vineyards using data for host locations in and around real vineyards. We further look at the macroscopic implications of the Site-Facilitated spread model that has the potential to forecast the spread over large distances and long times while bridging the gap between observed agent behavior and macroscopic population-level spread.